The Trend is Your Friend
The
world of business is fraught with potential disaster lurking around
every corner. Businessmen are often known to treat investments in the foreign exchange market
or the stock market like bets, high risk endeavours that could engender
either mind boggling profits or crippling loss. However, these types of
businessmen aren’t usually around for very long. If they are smart,
they earn some money based on pure luck and retire, but the less smart
variety tend to keep pushing their luck until, eventually, they find
that their luck has run out and they are left with nothing.
Hence,
smart businessmen tend not to bet. Instead, they tend to make
investments based on analysis. There are basically two main types of
analysis, one is called technical analysis and the other is called
fundamental analysis. Both these types of analysis have one thing in
common: they analyze trends in order to ascertain which investments
would be sound and earn them money and which investments could
potentially fail and end up making them lose money.
The
analysis of trends is, therefore, essential for the savvy
businessperson, trader or investor. If one were to apply technical
analysis techniques, the trends one would analyse would be those
observed in the past. These trends were those trends that set
precedents, that allowed investors to learn about how the market in
question worked, and the analysis of these trends allows investors to
compare with trends occurring in today’s market.
If a trend
has been seen before, investors can analyse that outcome of these
trends and base their own investments, trading and dealings based on the
assumption that, if the trend lead to a certain outcome before, it
would be reasonable to expect that it would lead to the same outcome
again, lending a certain predictability to market trends.
Fundamental
analysis techniques, on the other hand, tend to analyze the commodities
being traded themselves, along with the other traders that are
investing in assets contained within the market. The trends analyzed
using this technique tend to be present trends. Investors and traders
look at the financial position of companies within the market, or
countries if the market in question is the foreign exchange market, and
make purchases and trades based on this. For example, if a particular
currency or stock is seeing an upward trend, which essentially means
that it is appreciating in value, the trader or investor would ascertain
this upward trend using fundamental analysis techniques and make an
investment or trade based on this trend. If the trend is determined to
be upward, investors and traders would purchase the stock or currency
and sell it when the upward trend allows them to make a decent profit
from the sale.
All in all, if you are
an investor, a businessman, a trader, or just someone who wants to be
any of the three aforementioned, always remember that the trend is your
friend. Analysis of trends is what changes gambling into investing.
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